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If Libs get their preselection right – a moderate professional woman with somewhat climate friendly creditionals this seat go back to them.
But in the current climate it is safely in Chaney’s grasp.
Rumors at the state election was Elizabeth Court (of the Courts), would run in Nedlands maybe she’ll go here in 2028.
CG,
Agreed, that’s only if the Liberals don’t dumb net zero and move further to the right.
Even if they do a strong moderate Liberal woman could still topple Chaney.
Labor will run even further dead here which help Chaney.
It will be interesting to see what an expansion of the House would do Curtin.
Maybe split.
Have Curtin be the suburbs along on the Indian Ocean (Scarborough to Cottesloe) and have a new seat or expand Perth into Subiaco, Shenton Park and Nedlands.
Good luck finding a moderate Liberal woman in the Western Australian branch of the Liberals. They’re a rare species if there ever was one. Julie Bishop was the last moderate who held Curtin with ease. Celia Hammond wouldn’t work, even Libby Mettam’s taken a lurch to the right, she won’t work.
Also the fact that Libby Mettam lives in the seat of Forrest.
@CG could a similar seat to the old Stirling be recreated? I also think Curtin should take that part of North Fremantle from Fremantle, to avoid that seat crossing the Swan River.
@CJ
Could definitely happen would make geographically sense.
I reckon long term federal Perth will be a very inner city electorate (no more outer suburban areas) containing Subiaco, Shenton Park or Nedlands all the way to Maylands and Bayswater.
@cg agreed I tried to argue for that to happen but the tribunal only ever goes for minimal change these days. Fremantle would need to be over quota for that to happen. The best chance is for parliament to be expanded.
adding north fremantle would probably have no effect on the margin vs ind. however the 2pp margin would probably tip into labors favor